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Skip to Content Japanese English Chinese About RIETI Site Map Help Contact Discussion Papers Search Site Search Menu Research Areas Research Programs (FY2024-2028) Research Programs (FY2020-2023) Research Programs (FY2016-2019) Research Programs (FY2011-2015) Policy Research Domains (FY2006-2010) Projects Survey Fellows According to Title Alphabetical order RIETI Alumni Research/Policy Papers Discussion Papers (English) Discussion Papers (Japanese) Policy Discussion Papers (English) Policy Discussion Papers (Japanese) Technical Papers (English) Technical Papers (Japanese) Non Technical Summaries List of Articles in Journals Research Digest Discussion Papers Search Publications RIETI Books (English) RIETI Books (Japanese) History of Japan's Trade and Industry Policy Authors' Words Other Publications (English) Other Publications (Japanese) Events Symposiums Workshops BBL Seminars Archived Seminar Series Data JIP Database R-JIP Database CIP Database Industry-Specific Nominal and Real Effective Exchange Rates AMU and AMU Deviation Indicators JSTAR RIETI-TID RIETI FDI Database ICPA Project Links Articles Column Special Series Newspapers & Magazines Fellows' Works VoxEU Column From IZA Perspectives from Around the World Other Contents RIETI Report Policy Update Keizai Sangyo Journal (METI Journal) Research Areas Fellows Research/Policy Papers Publications Events Data Articles Site Map Technical Issues Coontact Discussion Papers Search Close HomeResearch AreasResearch Programs (FY2024-2028)Macroeconomy and Low Birthrate/Aging Population Research Programs: Macroeconomy and Low Birthrate/Aging Population Economic Shocks, the Japanese and World Economies, and Possible Policy Responses Print Project Leader/Sub-Leader THORBECKE, Willem (Senior Fellow) Leader Overview The world economy has been hit by the China-US confrontation, the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation, the Russia-Ukraine War, high oil prices, exchange rate changes, and other events. These have disrupted economic activity. This projects first investigates how the structure of the Japanese and world economies have changed over the last 20 years. It then examines how the shocks in recent years have impacted firms, industries, and economies throughout the world. Finally, it recommends steps that businesses, governments, and others can take to steer the Japanese and world economies in healthy directions. The project seeks detailed empirical evidence on how these shocks are impacting firms, industries, and economies. It also considers how Global Value Chains have evolved, and how they can develop in the face of conflicts between the U.S. and China. It looks to the success of East Asia in developing the semiconductor sector to make recommendations for how this sector can evolve in the age of trade wars and friend-shoring. It also considers how inflation and accompanying monetary policy changes are impacting the economy. It seeks the latest evidence on how inflation is evolving and on how countries such as Japan can migrate to a healthy inflationary regime where price increases are accompanied by increases in wages and consumption. The research also considers why certain Japanese firms have flourished over the last 20 years while others have floundered, how Japan’s place in GVCs has changed, where Japanese firms are comrades and where they are competitors with other firms, and whether there are areas where China and democratic nations can cooperate. The findings from this project can help in the design of trade and other economic policies. May 8, 2023 - October 31, 2025 （During the research project period, the research activity period is set from May 8, 2023 to April 30, 2025, and the data usage reporting period is set from May 1, 2025 to October 31, 2025.） Major Research Results 2023 RIETI Discussion Papers 24-E-033 "Investigating Japan’s Machinery and Equipment Exports after the Global Financial Crisis" (Willem THORBECKE) 23-E-071"Sectoral Evidence on Indonesian Economic Performance after the Pandemic" (Willem THORBECKE) 23-E-070"Macroeconomic Shocks and Economic Performance in Malaysia: A sectoral analysis" (Willem THORBECKE) 23-E-054"The Impact of Monetary Policy on the U.S. Stock Market since the Pandemic" (Willem THORBECKE) Research Areas Research Programs (FY2024-2028) Macroeconomy and Low Birthrate/Aging Population International Trade and Investment Regional Economies Innovation Industry Frontiers Raising Industrial and Firm Productivity Human Capital Integrated Research Policy Assessment Special Projects Research Programs (FY2020-2023) Research Programs (FY2016-2019) Research Programs (FY2011-2015) Policy Research Domains (FY2006-2010) Major Common Themes: 2005 Major Common Themes: 2004 Projects Survey Communications Newsletter RSS Feed Facebook X YouTube Research Areas Research Programs (FY2024-2028) Research Programs (FY2020-2023) Research Programs (FY2016-2019) Research Programs (FY2011-2015) Policy Research Domains (FY2006-2010) Projects Survey Fellows Research/Policy Papers Discussion Papers (English) Discussion Papers (Japanese) Policy Discussion Papers (English) Policy Discussion Papers (Japanese) Technical Papers (English) Technical Papers (Japanese) Non Technical Summaries List of Articles in Journals Research Digest Discussion Papers Search Publications RIETI Books (English) RIETI Books (Japanese) History of Japan's Trade and Industry Policy Authors' Words Other Publications (English) Other Publications (Japanese) Events Symposiums Workshops BBL Seminars Archived Seminar Series Data JIP Database R-JIP Database CIP Database Industry-Specific Nominal and Real Effective Exchange Rates AMU and AMU Deviation Indicators JSTAR RIETI-TID RIETI FDI Database ICPA Project Links Articles Column Special Series Newspapers & Magazines Fellows' Works VoxEU Column From IZA Perspectives from Around the World Other Contents RIETI Report Policy Update Keizai Sangyo Journal (METI Journal) About RIETI Privacy Policy Site Policy Site Map Help Contact METI Web Site Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry, IAA (JCN 6010005005426)JCN: Japan Corporate Number Opinions expressed or implied on this website are solely those of the author, and do not necessarily represent the views of the Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).Titles, numbers, specific names, etc. on this website are as of the date of publication. 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